Technological proposal for the attention of the risk in the management of the work of a railway station with a port
Abstract
The purpose of the article is to define an improved technology for managing the operation of a railway station with a port when carrying out container transportation with the attention of the financial risk. To achieve this goal, the authors used methods of statistical data analysis of dynamically changing parameters, methods of mathematical statistics, probability theory, methods of optimization and combinatorial analysis. The article formalizes the technology of managing the work of a railway station with a port in the form of a mathematical model. The objective function of the model is based on the sum of operating costs and takes into account the risk of financial losses of the port station due to the occurrence of risky events that threaten the stable and safe operation of railway transport in the conditions of martial law. For representation of the level of financial risk, the use of the density function of the normal distribution law is proposed. The application of the proposed mathematical model will allow to determine the optimal size of a batch of large-tonnage containers intended for loading onto a ship with minimal operating costs.
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