Comparison of neural networks and genetic algorithms to determine missing precipitation data (Case study: the city of Sari)
Resumen
Neural networks and genetic programming in the investigation of new methods for predicting rainfall in the catchment area of the city of Sari. Various methods are used for prediction, such as the time series model, artificial neural networks, fuzzy logic, fuzzy Nero, and genetic programming. Results based on statistical indicators of root mean square error and correlation coefficient were studied. The results of the optimal model of genetic programming were compared, the correlation coefficients and the root mean square error 0.973 and 0.034 respectively for training, and 0.964 and 0.057 respectively for the optimal neural network model. Genetic programming has been more accurate than artificial neural networks and is recommended as a good way to accurately predict.
Descargas
Citas
Abrahart R.J. and See L. (2000). Neural network vs ARMA modeling : Constructing benchmark case study of river flow prediction, Pp. 1021-1028. 3rd International Conference on Hydroinformatics. Copenhagen, Denmark.
Alvisi S., Mascellani G., Franchini M. and Bardossy A. (2005). Water level forecasting through fuzzy logic and artificial neural network approaches. J Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 2: 1107-1145.
Aytek A., Asce M. and Alp M., (2008). An application of artificial intelligence for rainfall runoff modeling. J Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 117(2): 145-155.
Aytek, A. and Kisi, O. (2008). A genetic programming approach to suspended sediment modeling. J Hydrol Eng 351: 288-298.
Dogan E., Isik S., Toluk T. and Sandalci M. (2007). Daily streamflow forecasting using artificial neural networks. Pp. 448-459. International Congress River Flood Management. Ankara, Turkey.
Feuring, T.; Golubski, W. (2000). Evolving Neural Network Structures. M. Mohammadian (Ed.). New Frontiers Computational Intelligence and its Aplications. IOS Press, 2000.
Firat M. (2007). Artificial intelligence techniques for river flow forecasting in the Seyhan river catchment, Turkey. J Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 4: 1369-1406.
Kisi O. (2004). River flow modeling using artificial neural networks. J Hydrol Eng 9(1): 60- 63.
Kisi O. (2005). Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and autoregressive models. J Eng Env Sci 29: 9-20.
Khu S.T., Liong S.Y., Babovic V., Madsen H. and Muttil N. (2001). Genetic programming and its application in real- time runoff forming. J AmWater Res Assoc 37(2): 439-451.
Kozo J. (1992). Genetic programming on the programming of computers by natural selection. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
Liong S.Y., Gautam T.R., Khu S.T., Babovic V., Keijzer M. and Muttil N. (2002). Genetic programming: A new paradigm in rainfall runoff modeling. J Am Water Res Assoc 38(3): 705-718.
Willis, Mark & Hiden, Hugo & Marenbach, P. & McKay, Ben & Montague, Gary. (1997). Genetic programming: An introduction and survey of applications. 314 - 319. 10.1049/cp:19971199.
Copyright
La Revista de la Universidad del Zulia declara que reconoce los derechos de los autores de los trabajos originales que en ella se publican; dichos trabajos son propiedad intelectual de sus autores. Los autores preservan sus derechos de autoría y comparten sin propósitos comerciales, según la licencia adoptada por la revista..
Esta obra está bajo la licencia:
Creative Commons Reconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacional (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)